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Thursday, January 27, 2011

THURS. JAN. 27- Embracing Change

There are times when I sit down to do these blog entries that I have several different ideas. Conversely, there are times when there's nothing new of consequence politically nor economically to report. Furthermore, there are just flat-out instances whereby a trading bit of wisdom I learn and/or seek to pass on just is not present. But arguably my favorite aspect of trading and one of the hardest for me to have learned is that things never stay the same- whether it be life or trading. There's constant chaos during earnings season (particularly before and after traditional trading hours). The economic and political landscape evolve in perpetuity. Volatility ebbs and flows. New technologies come and go. Thus, when it's slower than normal (which it certainly is not right now at the height of earnings season), realize with the passage of time that it happily never lasts for the trader who treats change not as a barrier but an opportunity to learn and garner extra trading profits from those who are nervous and/or unprepared.

Markets overnight were mixed in Asia with Tokyo up 0.5% but Hong Kong down 0.5%. European bourses are ahead 0.1% to 0.3%. However, S&P cut Japan’s debt rating so the dollar is up a yen or so with it flat against the euro. Gold is flat with oil down slightly. The big news in New York is the massive snowfall overnight. This will lead to things slowing a bit until later in the day for the broader market but there is going to be a lot of movement among individual stocks as we’re at the height of earnings season. Durable goods and jobless claims data were both disappointing with Pending Home Sales due out at 10AM. The focus will be on all the earnings plays, big cap tech off of NFLX, financials to see if there is follow through weakness from yesterday, and materials/commodities stocks.

If the whole story is not there -

If something is good, assume either a short thru unchanged or an A-B-A2 (preferably to the downside in a downside market and the upside in an upside market) based on direction of the market unless specified.

If something is bad, assume either a buy thru unchanged or an A-B-A2 (preferably to the downside in a downside market and the upside in an upside market) based on direction of the market unless specified-


Good- The following stocks have good news and/or a strong technical pattern

GILD- closed near a high after posting earnings

DV- closed near a high after posting earnings

KEYN- closed near a high after posting earnings

FTNT- closed near a high after posting earnings

ATI- closed near a high after posting earnings

COP- closed near a high after posting earnings

NATI- closed near a high after posting earnings

PJC- closed near a high after posting earnings

ROK- closed near a high after posting earnings

JEC- closed near a high after posting earnings

BKI- closed near a high after posting earnings

STI- featured on “Mad Money” last night

WYNN- closed near a high

MOS- closed near a high

X- closed near a high

POT- closed near a high

AAPL- closed near a high

JOYG- closed near a high

FCX- closed near a high

WLT- closed near a high

RLOG- closed near a high

TDW- closed near a high

CRK- closed near a high

FTI- closed near a high

CLF- closed near a high

HAL- closed near a high

INVE- closed near a high

THRX- closed near a high

NFLX- great earnings

QCOM- good earnings

SYMC- decent earnings

CTXS- decent earnings

AMLN- decent earnings

NE- decent earnings

TSCO- great earnings

HRC- decent earnings

LSI- decent earnings

AMB, PLD- rumored to be on the verge of a merger

STI, MU- featured on “Mad Money” last night

CAT- good earnings

POT- good earnings

UA- good earnings

ZMH- good earnings

LLY- decent earnings

LMT- decent earnings

BEXP- decent earnings

CPIX- Caldolor study met its primary and secondary endpoints

SWK- decent earnings



Bad-The following stocks have bad news and/or a weak technical pattern

CA- closed near a low after posting earnings

SBUX- bad earnings guidance

ALGN- poor earnings

MMI- poor earnings

MUR- poor earnings

VAR- poor earnings

RYL- decent earnings

RHI- poor earnings

PMTC- poor earnings

ETFC- poor earnings

SHOR- poor earnings

CVD- poor earnings

QTM- terrible earnings

LDK- share offering

PSTI- share offering

NOK- bad earnings

PG- poor earnings

T- poor earnings

CL- poor earnings

DHI- poor earnings

NVS- poor earnings

CNX- poor earnings

RCL- poor earnings


Earnings:

THURS JAN 27 BEFORE

AVT BAX BC

BEN BLL BMY

CAT CELG CL

CNX CRUS CY

DHI DHR ETN

HP HSC JBLU

JNS LLL LLY

LMT MO NOK

NUE NVS NWL

OXPS PCP PG

PII POT RCL

RTN SWK T

TKR TWC TYC

UA WCC ZMH

THURS JAN 27 AFTER

AMZN ARBA CB

CPHD CPWR CYT

DRIV FII FNF

GMCR INFA INFN

KLAC LSCC MCRS

MSCC MSFT MWW

MYGN PMCS PSA

QLGC RMBS RMD

RVBD SNDK THOR

TSRA VPRT VRSN

VSEA


Epiphany Trading, LLC
www.epiphanytrading.com

Erik R. Kolodny- Chief Markets Strategist
Brendan P. Byrne- President

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