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Thursday, February 11, 2010

THURS. FEB. 11- Being Creative

One of my favorite things about trading is that while many things and principles remain the same over time, there are always new things. I always try to carry something to write on along with a pen no matter where I go so that if I see or hear something unique that can affect my trading, I take note of it. One of those things is going to happen next week. Out of the corner of my right ear, I heard a commercial for CNBC in which they indicated that “Mad Money” would be on at 12PM and “Fast Money” at 12:30PM. These are the CNBC shows that come on at 6PM and 5PM respectively and tend to be very profitable for very quick trades many times. Well, the fact that these things will be on during lunch time could be a potential boon for smart day traders as many more eyeballs will be on these shows than normal. Jim Cramer could say “buy shares of XYZ” and the stock could see a spike in not only price, but volume as liquidity is present at 12PM that is oftentimes not present at 6PM. So, take away two things. First, be very careful yet mentally prepared for that time frame next week. This is a very unusual happenstance and it will be quite interesting to see if as many individual stocks are discussed. Second, I circle back to the first sentence for a more macro theme. This is not purely a game of numbers and letters. Trading is a game of creative thought and getting an edge. Whenever you hear of something that not many people realize and you have a unique take on, really think about it. Oftentimes, that can make a difference in your trading day if not trading week and month.

Markets in Asia were higher overnight; Tokyo was closed, but Hong Kong finished ahead 1.9%. In Europe, prices were higher earlier but have gotten softer as the day has progressed with London still up ½%, but Germany and Paris ostensibly unchanged. Oil is a tinge higher and the dollar is weaker. The big news of the morning thus far has been the fact that the EU ministers announced that a deal was reached on Greece. Yet, there have been no details released. Futures are marginally higher. Look for a relatively slow day as we approach a holiday weekend following a commute many Northeasterners chose not to make this morning. Trading will be focused on the few earnings plays, the deals out there, and relative strength/weakness as the morning progresses.

Reiterating-


If the whole story is not there -

If something is good, assume either a short thru unchanged or an A-B-A2 (preferably to the downside in a downside market and the upside in an upside market) based on direction of the market unless specified.

If something is bad, assume either a buy thru unchanged or an A-B-A2 (preferably to the downside in a downside market and the upside in an upside market) based on direction of the market unless specified-


Good- The following stocks have good news and/or a strong technical pattern

ATVI- good earnings

PRE- decent earnings

CHBT- good earnings

DYP- good earnings

NFP – closed near a high after announcing good earnings

BCRX- closed near a high

AIG- closed near a high after the company rolled out a ranking pay scale

OPEN- closed near a high after posting good earnings

EXBD- near island reversal after posting poor earnings

BIDU- closed near a high after posting blockbuster earnings

RRC, ROST- on “Mad Money” last night

JASO- good earnings

LF- great earnings

AYE- being acquired by FE for .667 shares of FE

VIA/B- decent earnings

RTP- good earnings

VFC- decent earnings




Bad-The following stocks have bad news and/or a weak technical pattern

BSX- poor earnings

PRU- poor earnings

AMKR- poor earnings

EQIX- poor earnings

VALE- poor earnings

GSIC- poor earnings

ELON- terrible earnings

SWIR- terrible earnings

PAP- closed near a low after announcing a stock offering

ASYS- closed near a low after announcing poor earnings

SNI- closed near a low after announcing poor earnings

CERN- closed near a low after posting earnings

FLIR- poor earnings

MAC- poor earnings









Earnings:

THURS FEB 11 BEFORE

AN BWA CLI

DVA ECA (1PM) EXPE

FLIR JASO LH

MAC MAR MFC

NVE PEP PGN

PLD PM PTEN

RTP SCG TDC

TKLC VFC VIA/B

THURS FEB 11 AFTER

A ACL BEC

BGC BWLD CAKE

CEPH CMG CSTR

MFE O PNRA

ROVI RSG


Good luck today.


Epiphany Trading, LLC


www.epiphanytrading.com


Erik R. Kolodny- Chief Markets Strategist
Brendan P. Byrne- President
Joseph R. McCandless- Managing Partner
D. Timothy Seaquist- Managing Partner

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