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Monday, April 25, 2011

MON. APR. 25- Seeking Out Opportunity

There was a fascinating article I read in a local paper on a recent weekend mini-trip. The author wrote of weekends he spent with his Dad at Yankees games in the Bronx. Now that he has his own kids, he too takes them to Yankees games...in Baltimore. The author spent $12 each for the equivalent of $150ish seats at the new stadium. So he was already ahead about $550. I understand factors such as food and gas come into play but it still makes tremendous financial sense for the author to do what he did. In trading, the same principle applies. First, there are times when it is harder than others to make a trade. It could be a function of the markets, the day, or a factor such as exhaustion. But anything is possible. Second, opportunities are there for the finding...if you look hard enough. Maximum effort is a must for success in this field. Finally, for the effort, one can find fruit with the work. The reward is there but it can take some doing although it can be well well worth it. Thus, you can generally get what you want even if it is more difficult than you thought it'd be. It may be a slight tangent to get it but success in trading is certainly obtainable.

World markets were ostensibly inactive. Tokyo was net near flat for the last couple of days with Hong Kong and every major European bourse having been closed Friday and today. The dollar is quiet but mixed with oil slightly stronger and metals screaming with gold up 1% and silver up 6%. New Home Sales (280K) are due out at 10AM. Futures are modestly positive. With so many people still out for vacation, look for a very low volume session today. There will be pockets of activity amid some of the earnings flow and ahead of the crush of economic and earnings data due out starting this afternoon. The focus will likely be on the earnings plays from this morning, the metals/commodities plays, China ADR’s, and relative weakness plays particularly early.



If the whole story is not there -

If something is good, assume either a short thru unchanged or an A-B-A2 (preferably to the downside in a downside market and the upside in an upside market) based on direction of the market unless specified.


If something is bad, assume either a buy thru unchanged or an A-B-A2 (preferably to the downside in a downside market and the upside in an upside market) based on direction of the market unless specified-


Good- The following stocks have good news and/or a strong technical pattern

SCSS- closed near a high after posting earnings

WLT- closed near a high after posting earnings

ESI- closed near a high after posting earnings

COF- closed near a high after posting earnings

TZOO- closed near a high after posting earnings

LULU- closed near a high

IBM- closed near a high

FCX- closed near a high

NFLX- closed near a high

AMZN- closed near a high

PLCM- great earnings

CB- decent earnings

EZPW- decent earnings

IGT- good earnings

BCR- decent earnings

NEPT- closed near a high

TRGL- closed near a high on a positive French shale hydrocarbons report

CYOU- decent earnings

SOHU- good earnings

NKE- featured in “Barron’s” over the weekend




Bad-The following stocks have bad news and/or a weak technical pattern

MCP- closed near a low

OCZ- closed near a low

HNI- closed near a low after posting poor earnings

AMGN- closed near a low after posting poor earnings

SYNT- closed near a low after posting poor earnings

BIIB- near island reversal in closing near a low despite posting good earnings and drug results

VNET- near island reversal in closing near a low on the day of its IPO

YUM- near island reversal in closing near a low despite posting good earnings

SNDK- poor earnings

MXIM- poor earnings

RMBS- poor earnings

SYNA- poor earnings

MCRL- poor earnings

CYMI- poor earnings

ABFS- poor earnings

KMB- poor earnings

ABX- announced agreement to buy Equinox

RSH- poor earnings



Earnings:

MON APR 25 BEFORE

ABFS ACV BEAV

JCI KMB SIFY

SOHU

MON APR 25 AFTER

AMP EFII ELX

ESRX HLX HXL

JEC MAS MSPD

NFLX PCL RCII

RGA RSH SANM

SFG SWI UIS

VECO WCN


Epiphany Trading, LLC
www.epiphanytrading.com

Erik R. Kolodny- Chief Markets Strategist
Brendan P. Byrne- President

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